WinCraps AutoBets, Data Format 5.0 K ä ' This file plays the Passline (and odds if selected) until one of five c' This file plays the Passline (and odds if selected) until one of five ' things has occurred: c' things has occurred: ' - insufficient bankroll remains to make a passline bet (ruin) c' - insufficient bankroll remains to make a passline bet (ruin) ' - a specified amount of action has transpired c' - a specified amount of action has transpired ' - a specified win goal has been reached c' - a specified win goal has been reached ' - a specified # of rolls has been reached c' - a specified # of rolls has been reached ' - a specified # of passline trials have transpired c' - a specified # of passline trials have transpired ' c' ' Insufficient bankroll remaining will be our definition of ruin. c' Insufficient bankroll remaining will be our definition of ruin. ' It's a forced termination due to an inability to continue making wagers c' It's a forced termination due to an inability to continue making wagers ' The remaining criteria (action, win goal, time) are voluntary terminations. c' The remaining criteria (action, win goal, time) are voluntary terminations. ' Use these together with beginning bankroll and bet size to see how c' Use these together with beginning bankroll and bet size to see how ' your risk of ruin is affected. c' your risk of ruin is affected. ' c' ' If you specify an amount of action then the final bets will be limited c' If you specify an amount of action then the final bets will be limited ' if necessary to avoid exceeded your action. E.g. If you specify $100 action c' if necessary to avoid exceeded your action. E.g. If you specify $100 action ' and $30 bets then three $30 bets plus one $10 bet will be made. c' and $30 bets then three $30 bets plus one $10 bet will be made. ' c' ' If you specify a number of rolls and an unresolved bet remains when c' If you specify a number of rolls and an unresolved bet remains when ' the number of rolls has been reached then rolling will continue until c' the number of rolls has been reached then rolling will continue until ' the final bet resolves. c' the final bet resolves. ' c' ' Note that whenever the amount of action is less than your beginning c' Note that whenever the amount of action is less than your beginning ' bankroll your risk of ruin is zero. However, this does not mean your c' bankroll your risk of ruin is zero. However, this does not mean your ' risk of loss is zero. Your risk of loss (and gain) will vary. c' risk of loss is zero. Your risk of loss (and gain) will vary. ' As your risk of ruin changes, one or more other factors will also change c' As your risk of ruin changes, one or more other factors will also change ' such that the total loss divided by the total handle (house advantage) c' such that the total loss divided by the total handle (house advantage) ' remains the same. c' remains the same. ' c' ' On the configuration screen, make sure that negative amounts are NOT c' On the configuration screen, make sure that negative amounts are NOT ' allowed on the Bankroll tab. If you intend to take odds then be sure to set c' allowed on the Bankroll tab. If you intend to take odds then be sure to set ' your desired odds multiple on the Bets tab. Also if you want to play odds c' your desired odds multiple on the Bets tab. Also if you want to play odds ' together with a limited amount of action then select "Manual" for the c' together with a limited amount of action then select "Manual" for the ' "Auto-adjust Bet Amounts" feature on the Auto-play screen c' "Auto-adjust Bet Amounts" feature on the Auto-play screen ' c' ' Suggested use: c' Suggested use: ' - activate this autobet file and return to the game table c' - activate this autobet file and return to the game table ' - select NEW from the Game menu c' - select NEW from the Game menu ' - open the Games Log and select NEW from the file menu c' - open the Games Log and select NEW from the file menu ' - start the hyper-drive (close the Games Log for faster rolling) c' - start the hyper-drive (close the Games Log for faster rolling) ' - after the simulation has finished observe the Games Log c' - after the simulation has finished observe the Games Log ' - select "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" from the drop-down box c' - select "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" from the drop-down box ' - ruin (if any) can be observed on the left side of the histogram as c' - ruin (if any) can be observed on the left side of the histogram as ' any amount less than the minimum allowed bet minus beginning c' any amount less than the minimum allowed bet minus beginning ' bankroll. e.g. If min bet on Configuration screen is 5 and beginning c' bankroll. e.g. If min bet on Configuration screen is 5 and beginning ' bankroll is 100 then any amount less than -95 is a ruin c' bankroll is 100 then any amount less than -95 is a ruin ' - in this example enter -96 in the box underneath the histogram just c' - in this example enter -96 in the box underneath the histogram just ' to the right of the words "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" and press enter c' to the right of the words "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" and press enter ' a portion of the screen will appear with a red background c' a portion of the screen will appear with a red background ' - the remaining portion represents the games that were ruined c' - the remaining portion represents the games that were ruined ' - the number and % can be read in the lower left-hand corner c' - the number and % can be read in the lower left-hand corner ' c' ' Try running a number of sims varying one factor while holding the others c' Try running a number of sims varying one factor while holding the others ' constant to see how your risk of ruin is affected. c' constant to see how your risk of ruin is affected. ' c' ' An example: Suppose we ask the question, "What are the chances of c' An example: Suppose we ask the question, "What are the chances of ' losing a $50 bankroll before doubling it to $100 while using $10 bets?" c' losing a $50 bankroll before doubling it to $100 while using $10 bets?" ' Start the game and when queried answer the following: bankroll 50, c' Start the game and when queried answer the following: bankroll 50, ' action 0, win goal 100, games 0, rolls 0, Passline 10, odds no c' action 0, win goal 100, games 0, rolls 0, Passline 10, odds no ' After running the sim, the histogram for "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" will show c' After running the sim, the histogram for "$ Bets Won/Lost (Net)" will show ' only two outcomes - the loss of $50 or gain of $50. Use the movable carets c' only two outcomes - the loss of $50 or gain of $50. Use the movable carets ' to discover that the chance of losing $50 before winning $50 with $10 c' to discover that the chance of losing $50 before winning $50 with $10 ' bets is approximately 53% c' bets is approximately 53% ' c' ' Another example: "What are the chances of losing a $100 bankroll with a c' Another example: "What are the chances of losing a $100 bankroll with a ' maximum of $200 in action using $10 bets?" c' maximum of $200 in action using $10 bets?" ' Start the game and when queried answer the following: bankroll 100, c' Start the game and when queried answer the following: bankroll 100, ' action 200, win goal 0, games 0, rolls 0, Passline 10, odds no c' action 200, win goal 0, games 0, rolls 0, Passline 10, odds no ' This time the histogram should show that approx. 3% of games c' This time the histogram should show that approx. 3% of games ' will result in ruin. Repeat this using $400 in action and approx 12% will c' will result in ruin. Repeat this using $400 in action and approx 12% will ' result in ruin. Repeat again with $200 action and take odds to discover c' result in ruin. Repeat again with $200 action and take odds to discover ' that approx 23% of games will result in ruin. c' that approx 23% of games will result in ruin. ' c' ' Many conclusions can be drawn from these simulations. For instance: c' Many conclusions can be drawn from these simulations. For instance: ' increasing your action relative to your bankroll will increase your risk c' increasing your action relative to your bankroll will increase your risk ' of ruin. c' of ruin. When . . .  Initializing Auto-Bet  <F then . . . Reset table ç Set Auto-Take Full Odds to False [ Name Chip-Stack # 1 as "Size of each Passline bet" WSize of each Passline bet  Name Chip-Stack # 2 as "Total # of games to play" WTotal # of games to play  Name Chip-Stack # 3 as "# of completed games played" W# of completed games played  Name Chip-Stack # 4 as "Amount of action desired per game" WAmount of action desired per game  Name Chip-Stack # 5 as "Remaining action to play this game" WRemaining action to play this game  Name Chip-Stack # 6 as "Beginnning bankroll" WBeginnning bankroll  Name Chip-Stack # 7 as "Win goal" WWin goal  Name Chip-Stack # 8 as "# of rolls desired per game" W# of rolls desired per game  Name Chip-Stack # 9 as "# of desired passline trials per game" W# of desired passline trials per game Name Chip-Stack # 10 as "# of completed passline trials this game" W# of completed passline trials this game Show message: "This autobet file plays Passline bets (and odds if" OThis autobet file plays Passline bets (and odds if Show message: "activated) until one of five things has occurred:" Oactivated) until one of five things has occurred: Show message: " " O Show message: "-- insufficient bankroll remains to make a Passline bet" O-- insufficient bankroll remains to make a Passline bet Show message: "-- a specified amount of action has transpired" O-- a specified amount of action has transpired Show message: "-- a specified win goal has been reached" O-- a specified win goal has been reached Show message: "-- a specified # of rolls has been reached" O-- a specified # of rolls has been reached Show message: "-- a specified # of Passline trials have transpired" O-- a specified # of Passline trials have transpired Show message: " " O Show message: "What is your beginning bankroll?" OWhat is your beginning bankroll? Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 6 S ÈD Deposit 100 % of bankroll in the ATM ` @B¯D Withdraw 100 % of Chip-Stack # 6 from the ATM ^ @BÈD Show message: "How much action would you like in each game?" OHow much action would you like in each game? Show message: "(enter zero if you don't want to set an action limit)" O(enter zero if you don't want to set an action limit) Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 4 S ÈD Bet 100 % of Chip-Stack # 4 on Chip-Stack # 5  @BÈDÈD Show message: "What is your win goal?" OWhat is your win goal? Show message: "(enter as a bankroll amount. e.g. if "; O(enter as a bankroll amount. e.g. if ; Show message: "your goal is to win $50 and your bankroll is $100 then "; Oyour goal is to win $50 and your bankroll is $100 then ; Show message: "enter 150 here. Enter zero for no win goal.)" Oenter 150 here. Enter zero for no win goal.) Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 7 S ÈD Show message: "How many games would you like to play?" OHow many games would you like to play? Show message: "(enter zero if you want to play continuously)" O(enter zero if you want to play continuously) Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 2 S ÈD Show message: "How many rolls would you like in each game?" OHow many rolls would you like in each game? Show message: "(enter zero if you don't want to set a roll limit)" O(enter zero if you don't want to set a roll limit) Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 8 S ÈD Show message: "How many Passline trials would you like in each game?" OHow many Passline trials would you like in each game? Show message: "(enter zero if you don't want to set a trial limit)" O(enter zero if you don't want to set a trial limit) Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 9 S ÈD Show message: "How large would you like each Passline bet to be?" OHow large would you like each Passline bet to be? Show message: " " O Get input and bet it on Chip-Stack # 1 S ÈD Yes/No question: "Would you like to play odds bets too?" RWould you like to play odds bets too? When . . .  Initializing Auto-Bet  <F Last answer was "Yes"  `£D then . . . Set Auto-Take Full Odds to True [ ðØÿÿÿÿÿÿ When . . .  On each pass  ¤D or when . . .  On each miss  €¤D then . . . Add $ 1 to Chip-Stack # 10  'ÈD While . . .  Next roll is a come-out roll   ¢D then . . . Go to "Flat bet" uFlat bet When . . .  A point is established on any number  à¢D Pass Line Odds is greater than $ 0  0B then . . . Go to "Odds bet" uOdds bet else . . . Go to "Check status" uCheck status Flat bet ZFlat bet ' If a limited amount of action has been selected then limit passline c' If a limited amount of action has been selected then limit passline ' bet as necessary to avoid exceeding desired action. c' bet as necessary to avoid exceeding desired action. While . . .  Chip-Stack # 4 is greater than $ 0  ÈD Chip-Stack # 5 is less than Chip-Stack # 1  ÈDÈD then . . . Bet 100 % of Chip-Stack # 5 on Pass Line  @BÈD,B else . . . Bet 100 % of Chip-Stack # 1 on Pass Line  @BÈD,B While . . .  Chip-Stack # 4 is greater than $ 0  ÈD then . . . Subtract 100 % of Pass Line from Chip-Stack # 5  @B,BÈD Do this . . . Go to "Check status" uCheck status Odds bet ZOdds bet ' Odds bet (if selected) has already been made. If a limited amount of c' Odds bet (if selected) has already been made. If a limited amount of ' action has been selected then limit odds here as necessary to avoid c' action has been selected then limit odds here as necessary to avoid ' exceeding desired action. c' exceeding desired action. While . . .  Chip-Stack # 4 is greater than $ 0  ÈD Pass Line Odds is greater than Chip-Stack # 5  0BÈD then . . . Bet 100 % of Chip-Stack # 5 on Pass Line Odds  @BÈD0B While . . .  Chip-Stack # 4 is greater than $ 0  ÈD then . . . Subtract 100 % of Pass Line Odds from Chip-Stack # 5  @B0BÈD Check status ZCheck status While . . .  Pass Line is equal to $ 0  ,B or while . . .  Bankroll is not less than Chip-Stack # 7  ¯DÈD Chip-Stack # 7 is greater than $ 0  ÈD or while . . .  The # of rolls in the game are not less than Chip-Stack # 8  à£DÈD Chip-Stack # 8 is greater than $ 0  ÈD Next roll is a come-out roll   ¢D or while . . .  Chip-Stack # 10 is not less than Chip-Stack # 9  ÈD ÈD Chip-Stack # 9 is greater than $ 0  ÈD then . . . Reset table (preserve Chip-Stacks) æ Bet 100 % of Chip-Stack # 4 on Chip-Stack # 5  @BÈDÈD Bet $ 0 on Chip-Stack # 10  ÈD Add $ 1 to Chip-Stack # 3  'ÈD Deposit 100 % of bankroll in the ATM ` @B¯D Withdraw 100 % of Chip-Stack # 6 from the ATM ^ @BÈD Go to "Flat bet" uFlat bet When . . .  Chip-Stack # 3 is equal to Chip-Stack # 2  ÈDÈD Chip-Stack # 2 is greater than $ 0  ÈD then . . . Stop Auto-Rolling / Hyper-Drive K